Donald Trump and Joe Biden Campaigns Are Neck and Neck

Voters believe that Donald Trump and President Joe Biden are running almost equally good 2024 campaigns, according to a poll.

A Redfield & Wilton Strategies survey of 1,500 eligible voters, conducted exclusively for Newsweek, found that 37 percent think Trump is currently running the best campaign, compared to 36 percent who think Biden is.

The results arrive despite Trump, the presumptive 2024 Republican nominee, currently having his campaign schedule severely hindered as he must appear in court most weekdays in New York as part of his hush money trial.

Trump's attendance at the court for his trial where he has pleaded not guilty to 34 falsifying business records charges is mandatory, meaning he can only hold his rallies on weekends or days when court is not in session. The Republican recently held two rallies in the key swing states of Wisconsin and Michigan on Wednesday during a break in trial, and will hold his next campaign event in Wildwood, New Jersey, on Saturday, May 11.

Joe Biden and Donald Trump
This combination of pictures created on November 04, 2020 shows Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden (L) in Wilmington, Delaware, and President Donald Trump (R) in Washington, D.C. both pumping their fist during an election night... ANGELA WEISS,MANDEL NGAN/AFP/Getty Images

Trump has denied all wrongdoing in connection to money he arranged his former lawyer Michael Cohen to pay adult film star Stormy Daniels to keep an alleged affair she had with Trump secret ahead of the 2016 election. The $130,000 sum was later listed in Trump's company records as Cohen's "legal fees," which prosecutors argue was part of an unlawful attempt to influence the outcome of the 2016 presidential race.

Trump has lashed out at having been made to appear in court when he should be campaigning across the country, accusing the case of being "election interference."

Trump is still managing to use the few moments in front of reporters outside the court to essentially campaign, including recently challenging Biden to a live televised debate.

"We're willing to do it Monday night, Tuesday night, Wednesday night, Thursday night or Friday night on national television. We're ready. Just tell me where," Trump said.

"We'll do it at the White House. That would be very comfortable, actually. But you tell me where. We're ready."

Republican consultant Jeanette Hoffman suggested Trump is making the most of his situation by campaigning in New York, including visiting a Harlem bodega and meeting with union workers at a construction site in Manhattan.

"No campaign would want to have their candidate in the courtroom instead of with voters on the campaign trail," Hoffman told Reuters. "But I also think they're smart to maximize their moments of support in front of the camera during the trial."

Trump's and Biden's campaign teams have been contacted for comment via email.

Elsewhere, Biden's team have revealed their plan from now until November is to try to slim down what the president says on the campaign trail in order to hammer home the reasons why he should get a second term in office.

"There's a strategic advantage at this point in the race to boiling down your message to the three or four most salient, compelling arguments for why President Biden should be re-elected," TJ Ducklo, the Biden campaign's senior adviser for communications, told NBC News.

"That will often translate to the stump [speech] being whittled down to its sharpest, most dynamic form. That's what you're seeing."

The Redfield & Wilton Strategies survey was conducted on May 1. The results have a margin of error of plus or minus 2.53 percent.

Uncommon Knowledge

Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.

Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.

fairness meter

fairness meter

Newsweek is committed to journalism that's factual and fair.


Hold us accountable and submit your rating of this article on the meter.

Newsweek is committed to journalism that's factual and fair.


Hold us accountable and submit your rating of this article on the meter.

Click On Meter
To Rate This Article
Comment about your rating
Share your rating

About the writer


Ewan Palmer is a Newsweek News Reporter based in London, U.K. His focus is reporting on US politics, domestic policy ... Read more

To read how Newsweek uses AI as a newsroom tool, Click here.
Newsweek cover
  • Newsweek magazine delivered to your door
  • Newsweek Voices: Diverse audio opinions
  • Enjoy ad-free browsing on Newsweek.com
  • Comment on articles
  • Newsweek app updates on-the-go
Newsweek cover
  • Newsweek Voices: Diverse audio opinions
  • Enjoy ad-free browsing on Newsweek.com
  • Comment on articles
  • Newsweek app updates on-the-go