Joe Biden Beats Donald Trump in Three Polls in One Week

A new poll has suggested President Joe Biden will beat Donald Trump in the upcoming presidential election, the third poll to make the prediction in the last week.

A Biden and Trump rematch was confirmed last week after the two politicians both passed the nomination threshold, having won multiple presidential primaries.

Since then, interest has turned to which candidate will win the general election, with pollsters making various predictions regarding the outcome of November's ballot.

According to a national survey by the Democratic super PAC Progress Action fund, conducted by Public Policy Polling and reported by The Hill, Biden is leading Trump by 46 to 45 percent. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points, meaning the two politicians are statistically tied.

Joe Biden
President Joe Biden speaks during a Saint Patrick's Day event with Irish Taoiseach Leo Varadkar in the East Room of the White House on March 17, 2024 in Washington, DC. The Democratic presidential candidate has... Photo by Samuel Corum/Getty Images

Meanwhile, in two other polls released in the last week, it appears Biden might marginally beat his rival. One Reuters/Ipsos poll of 3,356 registered voters found Biden would get 39 percent of the vote while Trump would get 38 percent. It was conducted between March 7 and 13 and the margin of error is +/- 1.8 percentage points.

A Civiqs/Daily Kos poll of 1,324 registered voters gave the Democrat 45 percent of the vote to Trump's 44 percent. This survey was conducted between March 9 and March 12 and had a margin of error of +/- 2.8 percent.

Newsweek contacted representatives for Trump and Biden by email to comment on this story.

Despite this polling success, most predictions have been quite split and Trump is beating Biden in a number of other polls.

A March 8 to 13 poll of 1,436 likely voters conducted by Big Village predicted Trump will get 41 percent of the vote while Biden will get 40 percent.

Another poll conducted within the same time frame by the same pollsters, but of 1,628 registered voters, forecasts the Republican to get 39 percent of the vote share to Biden's 37 percent.

A March 3 to 5 poll of 1,450 registered voters by YouGov forecasts the former president to garner 44 percent of the vote share to Biden's 42 percent.

Meanwhile, after his State of the Union address, Biden's approval rating sank to an all-time low of 37.4 percent, with his disapproval rating at 56.5 percent.

The election is eight months off, and so commentators believe it is too early to predict who will win the vote.

Indeed, speaking to Newsweek last week about other polls that showed Biden in the lead, Heath Brown, an associate professor of public policy at City University of New York, said: "I wouldn't invest too much in any given poll or even a handful of polls. Both campaigns know this race is just about tied right now, will likely remain that way for a while, and are executing their strategies accordingly."

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About the writer


Kate Plummer is a Newsweek reporter based in London, U.K. Her focus is on U.S. politics and national affairs, and ... Read more

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