About one-third of folks who voted for President Donald Trump in 2016 are not certain they would again in 2020, according to a new poll from Fox News released this week.
The survey asked participants whether they would vote for Trump if the 2020 election were held today. They could choose among seven options: "definitely vote to re-elect Trump," "probably vote to re-elect Trump," "probably vote for someone else," "definitely vote for someone else," "too soon to say," "wouldn't vote" and "not sure."
Among Trump voters, 67 percent said they would definitely vote for the president again, which leaves about a third who chose a different answer. The graphic below by Statista illustrates the results of the poll.
Seventeen percent said they'd probably vote for Trump if the 2020 election were held today. Seven percent said they would probably vote for someone else and 3 percent said they would definitely vote for someone else. Six percent said it was too soon to say.
Overall, 30 percent of respondents said they would definitely vote for Trump's re-election, and 8 percent said they probably would. Nearly half of the respondents—47 percent—said they would definitely vote for someone else, while 7 percent said they probably would vote for someone else.
The Fox News poll surveyed 1,006 registered voters from December 9 through December 11. It had a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
The poll held some good news for Trump—the percentage of those who said they'd definitely vote for his re-election actually rose 8 percentage points, from 22 to 30, compared with figures from January.
"Trump's economic handling numbers are decent and his base is there, but his re-elect numbers are about the same as [former President Barack] Obama's from late 2010," said Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducted the survey alongside Democratic pollster Chris Anderson, according to Fox News. "He needs to expand his appeal and do better than break even on the economy if he wants another four years."
Trump has never been a particularly popular president. According to the tracker from FiveThirtyEight, his average approval rating stood at 42.4 percent on Thursday—which while far from his lowest rating is stilll not good.
It has been an especially tumultuous week for a president whose tenure has been largely defined by tumult. On Wednesday, his former personal attorney Michael Cohen was sentenced to 36 months in prison after he pleaded guilty to numerous crimes, including tax evasion, lying to Congress, and campaign finance violations that he said were directed by Trump.
"I never directed Michael Cohen to break the law," Trump said, in part, in a series of tweets on Thursday. "He was a lawyer and he is supposed to know the law. It is called 'advice of counsel,' and a lawyer has great liability if a mistake is made."
Later Thursday morning Trump posted his standard retort: "WITCH HUNT!"
This article was updated to include an infographic.
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