The Poll Trump and his Supporters Cite to Prove he's not Unpopular is the Most Inaccurate: report

donald trump, michel cohen, mueller
President Donald Trump addresses the Project Safe Neighborhoods National Conference on December 07, 2018 in Kansas City, Missouri. Jamie Squire/Getty Images

Following a tweet Trump sent out Wednesday, reporting a 50 percent approval rate, CNN found his favorite pollster is actually the least accurate.

The pollster, Rasmussen Reports, was found to be the most inaccurate of the 32 generic polls put out during the midterm elections.

Rasmussen released a generic ballot poll that had Republicans leading by one point nationally. When, in reality, Democrats are currently winning the overall House vote by 8.6 points – a difference of nearly 10 points.

This particular pollster showing high conservative or presidential approval rates isn't new, and that is most likely why Trump mentions them so much.

"Working hard, thank you," the president tweeted Wednesday.

Working hard, thank you! pic.twitter.com/3SoWTkZjP6

— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) December 6, 2018

While other generic pollsters hit the mark nearly perfectly, the average Rasmussen poll underestimated Democrat positions by nearly 7 points. This made Rasmussen's average poll more inaccurate than any other pollster.

Rasmussen even saw inaccurate numbers on Election Day, giving Trump an approval rating of 7.5 points higher than what was actually found.

For a pollster to show a pattern of inaccuracies, you may expect processes to be questioned or changed; however, for Rasmussen, no such thing has been done.

Both Rasmussen and President Trump seem to be satisfied with the numbers and processes – whether inaccurate or not.

Uncommon Knowledge

Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.

Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.

About the writer


Hannah Preston works remotely from the Los Angeles area. She studied Journalism & New Media at California Baptist University and interned ... Read more

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