Trump's Cuba Move Won't End the Dictatorship

This article first appeared on the Foundation for Economic Education site.

A little over a year ago, President Obama made modern history by reversing the outdated Cold War policies that have kept the Cuban people isolated from the American economy.

While this move was arguably one of the Obama Administration's most free market oriented decisions, many of these policy changes now stand in jeopardy thanks to President Trump.

Just last week, Trump announced that he would be reversing many of Obama's recent reversals to the Cuban embargo, disappointing many who thought the Cold War may finally be coming to an end.

"Effective immediately, I am canceling the last administration's completely one-sided deal with Cuba," Trump declared to a crowd of onlookers in Little Havana. Like many of the statements proclaimed passionately by Donald Trump, his actual actions are shallow by comparison.

The presidential directive signed at the end of his speech did not actually do anything substantial. It did, however, demand that the Treasury Department and Commerce Department enact new policies and regulations to reflect the sentiment expressed during his inflammatory speech.

But much like the infamous border wall, which still has yet to be brought to fruition, as of now, we can only speculate as to the specifics that this new foreign policy will entail. One thing that is most certain is that it will be the Cuban people who pay dearly for a continued embargo, and not the dictator Raul Castro.

The Pot and the Kettle

Based on prior statements made by President Trump, these new restrictions will most likely impact travel and economic transactions between the U.S. and Cuba, effectively taking our respective countries back to the early days of "el bloqueo," the nickname given to the Cold War era embargos on Cuba.

Calling the former administration's decision, "terrible and misguided" Trump claims that it is necessary to perpetuate these economic restrictions in order to show President Raúl Castro that America does not support his oppressive regime. In fact, he also asserted that Obama's relaxation of Cuban sanctions has hurt its citizens rather than helped.

To be sure, Raul Castro is a leader unworthy of praise in almost every regard possible. However, for the leader of the almighty American empire to call out Cuba for its oppressive acts is a perfect example of the pot calling the kettle black.

America's trespasses against both its own citizens and the citizens of other nations may not be 100 percent comparable, but if there is any doubt that the United States is guilty of egregious acts, one needs only ask the innocent children residing in the rural mountainsides of Afghanistan about the U.S. drones that have become a permanent fixture in their nightmares.

The aggressive acts engaged in by both governments may be different in scope, but they are acts of aggression nonetheless. If Trump really wanted to strike a nail at the center of Cuban communism while simultaneously encouraging the people to rise up and defend the institution of capitalism, he should allow the market to do its job.

Markets Spark Intellectual Revolutions

In the wake of Obama's reversal of the embargo prohibiting U.S. citizens from traveling to Cuba, Havana has become a tourist sensation for Americans. Suddenly, Havana's streets were filled with millennials gripping their selfie sticks and posting about how "vintage" Cuba was with its 1950s vehicles and infrastructure.

To be sure, the reason Cuba has this "adorably" quaint appearance is because it has been isolated from the center of the global economic world for decades. Its vintage vehicles and infrastructure are the manifestation of being completely cut off from trade that would have allowed its citizens the opportunity to purchase modern vehicles. Sure, this scene may make for a great Instagram selfie, but the reality of the situation is simply devastating.

The Cuban economy has always relied heavily on tourism which made the Cold War embargoes particularly destructive financially. Having been born in the mid-1980s long after the embargo had gone into place, I was fascinated by old episodes of I Love Lucy that centered around the Ricardos visiting Ricky's hometown of Havana. One particular episode that always stands out in my mind is one that aired right before the travel embargo was put in place.

The episode itself is a flashback to the time when Lucy met Ricky during a trip to Havana. As the ship she is sailing on is making its way into the harbor, the camera shows a Havana street where vendors are sleeping and lazily passing the time. As they see the tourists come off the boat, a musical number erupts in which they sing about how they have been anxiously awaiting for the next batch of American tourists so they could finally earn the money needed to pay their bills.

The scene essentially demonstrates how reliant Cuban entrepreneurs were on American tourists. While there were certainly tourists from other parts of the world, it was the American tourists in particular who made the largest impact on their economy. This episode becomes even more memorable when considering that shortly after it aired, el bloqueo was enacted, stripping Cubans of their most prized consumer base.

The Cold War Is the Health of the State

Additionally, while the show is obviously fiction, there is a larger takeaway from this scene. It was not the government of Cuba reaping all the benefits from American tourism, it was small time entrepreneurs doing all they good to earn a living. Installing trade and tourism embargoes struck a blow to the citizens and gave the dictatorship of Cuba an ideal propaganda campaign against free market capitalism.

As Dan Sanchez writes:

Moreover, cold wars make it easy for rogue state governments to shift the blame for domestic troubles away from their own misrule, and onto the foreign bogeyman/scapegoat ("bogeygoat?") instead.

This is exactly what has happened time and again in these countries as communist dictators declare that "capitalism doesn't care about the little guy." As the economic situation worsens, the people grow desperate and look to their oppressive regimes as the only solution to their financial woes.

However, in a market free from government intervention, like trade and travel embargoes, governments would not be able to pass such restrictions so long as there was a robust market demand. When this happens, all parties involved benefit. For proof of this fact, one need only look at what happened after America reopened trade with China.

As Sanchez also points out:

Thus after Nixon normalized with communist China and belatedly ended the war on communist Vietnam, both of those countries greatly liberalized and became more prosperous. Even Soviet reforms and the ultimate dissolution of the Soviet Union only arose following American detente.

Capitalism is a Powerful Tool

Since the Obama Administration began scaling back these travel restrictions, the rate of American tourism has already increased by 76.7 percent.

Trump has claimed that his decision to continue these archaic embargos was born out of his disgust for communists regimes. While this may be at least partially true, this is not how the supposed free world is going to win over the hearts and minds of the Cuban people.

These citizens are no strangers to the horrors of the both Castro regimes. They know more than anyone how collectivism works against the people. This is why, more than ever, they need to see firsthand how incredible the free market truly is.

There is no greater incentive than the market. Over the past year, the Cuban economy has gotten a small taste of what the modern economic world looks like. To deny these citizens the opportunity to freely and voluntarily trade with American tourists is cruel.

If Trump's motives are really about liberating Cuba, and not about "sticking it" to the Obama Administration, then he would do well to allow both Americans and Cubans to economically interact with each other as they see fit.

By cutting off Cuba from the American market, we are feeding into the same rhetoric perpetuated by dictators past and present. The only way to encourage the liberation of Cuba is to show them that the market is the greatest liberator of all.

Brittany Hunter is an associate editor at the Foundation for Economic Education.