U.S. COVID Hospitalizations Are Highest in These Five States

Life & Trends Reporter

The total confirmed coronavirus case count in the U.S. has surpassed 13.7 million, with nearly 100,000 COVID-19 patients currently in hospital, as of Wednesday.

Here we look at the five states with the most number of COVID-19 patients currently hospitalized per one million people, according to data compiled by The Atlantic's The COVID Tracking Project.

"The highest value of hospitalizations per million people we've seen was 968 in New York back in April," The project tweeted on Wednesday.

Case data below is from Johns Hopkins University (as of Wednesday), while population data is from the U.S. Census Bureau (as of July 2019).

Currently hospitalized per million: 618
Total cases: 80,912
Total population: 884,659

The seven-day average of cases in South Dakota has been rising sharply from late August, peaking at 1,458 on November 11, after flattening out for months. The figure declined after then through the rest of November, according to data from JHU.

Nevada

Currently hospitalized per million: 516
Total cases: 154,842
Total population: 3,080,156

The seven-day average of cases in Nevada has been increasing on a steep incline since early September, after declining from mid-July. The figure peaked at 2,499 on November 25 before declining through the end of November, according to JHU.

Indiana

Currently hospitalized per million: 514
Total cases: 344,373
Total population: 6,732,219

The seven-day average of cases in Indiana has been rising sharply from late September, after flattening out from late March. The figure peaked at 6,535 on November 17 before declining through the rest of November, according to Johns Hopkins.

Nebraska

Currently hospitalized per million: 469
Total cases: 130,194
Total population: 1,934,408

The seven-day average of cases in Nebraska has been rising on a sharp incline from late September, peaking at 2,391 on November 17, after flattening out since late April, according to JHU.

Montana

Currently hospitalized per million: 463
Total cases: 63,205
Total population: 1,068,778

The seven-day average of cases in Montana has been rising sharply since early September, after flattening out from early July. The figure peaked at 1,293 on November 17, according to JHU.

Hospitalization projections

According to 12 forecasts cited by the U.S. Center for Disease Control and Prevention: "For December 21, the forecasts estimate 6,700 to 30,000 new COVID-19 hospitalizations per day."

It noted on November 25: "Five national forecasts predict a likely increase in the number of new hospitalizations per day over the next four weeks, one forecast predicts a likely decrease, and two forecasts are uncertain about the trend or predict stable numbers."

"State-level forecasts also show a high degree of variability, which results from multiple factors. Hospitalization forecasts use different sources of data for COVID-19 cases or deaths, with different limitations, and make different assumptions about social distancing."

According to the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) at the University of Washington, by Christmas the country is projected to require nearly 150,000 hospital beds. The daily case count is expected to reach around 833,165 on the same day, with "continued easing of social distancing mandates" and if "mandates are not reimposed."