Donald Trump's Polling Numbers Are Dropping

Donald Trump is losing support as President Joe Biden is gaining with just under seven months to go until the 2024 Election, according to polls.

Biden has extended his lead over Trump from one point in March (39 percent to 38 percent) to four points in April (41 percent to 37 percent), according to a recent Reuters/Ipsos survey of 833 registered voters.

The dip in support for Trump continues a trend throughout the year, with a January Reuters/Ipsos poll showing that the former president leading Biden by five points (43 percent to 38 percent). Since that survey, Trump's support in the 2024 race has fallen six points while Biden's has increased three points.

Trump's support has also fallen in surveys conducted by The New York Times/Siena.

Donald Trump in New York
Former President Donald Trump listens as his attorney Todd Blanche speaks during a press conference at after a pre-trial hearing on March 25, 2024, in New York City. Trump's polling numbers have fallen in multiple... Getty Images

Biden was found to have almost completely erase Trump's lead in an April 13 poll after trailing by five points in March, riding a wave of momentum ahead of the 2020 rematch.

The April NYT/Siena poll showed that Trump and Biden are virtually tied, with Trump leading holding a one-point lead, 46 percent to 45 percent over the incumbent. In the same poll in March, Trump held a much more substantial five-point lead, 48 percent to 43 percent.

Trump's office has been contacted for comment via email.

Trump's dip in support comes in the run up to his historic "hush money" trial starting in New York on Monday.

Trump became the first former U.S. president to face criminal prosecution when he appeared in court for the trial. He has pleaded not guilty to 34 felony charges and says the case is a result of a "witch hunt" by political opponents.

The result of this trial and other Trump legal entanglements could play a major factor in determining who wins the 2024 election between Trump and Biden. Polls frequently show voters could be put off backing the presumptive Republican nominee if he is found guilty of a crime before the November election.

The April Reuters/Ipsos survey found that 64 percent of registered voters said they considered charges against Trump as at least "somewhat serious," compared to 34 percent who said the charges lacked seriousness.

In the case in court on Monday, Trump is accused of arranging for his former lawyer Michael Cohen to pay adult film star Stormy Daniels $130,000 to keep an alleged affair she and Trump had a secret ahead of the 2016 election. Trump reimbursed Cohen the money, and listed the sum in his company records as "legal fees," which prosecutors suggest was part of an unlawful attempt to influence the outcome of the 2016 presidential race.

Trump, who has denied having an affair with Daniels, has accused the proceedings of being politically motivated to hinder his chances of winning the 2024 Election.

Some voters surveyed by The New York Times told the outlet which way they are leaning ahead of November's presidential election. One respondent, Beth Prevost, 59, from Connecticut, said she considers Biden "the lesser of the two evils."

"You can recover from bad policies, but you can't recover from a bad heart," Prevost said. "And Donald Trump has a bad heart."

Danny Ghoghas, a 23-year-old Democrat who lives in California, said he may vote Biden over Trump, but is also considering staying home on Election Day in November to protest the president's handling of the Israel-Hamas conflict.

"I really don't like Donald Trump and would not like him to be in office again," Ghoghas said. "That's why I would vote for Biden again. But other than that, I can't really think of a good reason to vote for him."

Biden's campaign team has been contacted for comment via email.

Uncommon Knowledge

Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.

Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.

About the writer


Ewan Palmer is a Newsweek News Reporter based in London, U.K. His focus is reporting on US politics, domestic policy ... Read more

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